Re: Koehler: Conditional Probability

From: Dock Jenny (
Date: Mon Jun 01 1998 - 18:41:26 BST

Dear Stevan,

I get everthing except this paragraph:

> Suppose the probability that the DNA will call someone guilty when they
> are really innocent is very low, and the jury misinterprets this as
> meaning that the probability that they are really innocent when the DNA
> calls them guilty is very low; so they vote guilty.

I think I understand what you are trying to say, but have
you not just the same thing twice in this sentence? If not,
then I think I am more confused that I thought.

Thanks, Jennie

jennie dock

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